The United States facing the historic “perfect storm”
For the United States the process of strategic dislocation from 2010 has become so topical that it is one of the four themes of a report presented to the Pentagon in December 2008 by Nathan P. Freier of the Strategic Studies Institute of the United States’ Army War College¹. In it he describes the risk of dismemberment of the United States’ territory and its borders under the impact of the crisis². Indeed, if one considers the three key factors mentioned above, the United States is at the heart of a "perfect storm"³ in this regard:
• Of the four political entities considered it is that which relies entirely on the « Dollar/Debts » base. It is even that which has fueled their power and wealth in these recent decades. And today the whole of their financial system has become insolvent whilst Dollar creation spirals out of control¹¹.
• The socio-economic fabric of the country is far more diverse than an idealized vision of a uniform America from East to West would have us believe. Socio-ethnic tensions are huge with, henceforth, a strong Hispanic element linked to drug traffickers that plague the country's southern border. The different regions’ economic interests increasingly diverge in the face of the crisis: for example, California's near-bankruptcy problems are not the same at all as those of states where the auto industry is collapsing and they are different again from Florida’s. Texas does not have the same problems as New York, and so on. And the richest states are unwilling to pay for the poorest, a classic event leading to secession.
• Finally, the quasi-monopoly of Washington and the Federal state in the response to the crisis requires the use of highly centralized plans, standardized and therefore unable to take the widely varying situations from one State to another into account. This simple fact already guarantees that the measures already implemented will not be very effective, as we have seen elsewhere for more than a year.
At this stage it seems useful to recall that in choosing to be inspired by Abraham Lincoln, the new U.S. President has taken a significant historical risk because Lincoln was not only the end of slavery, but also the Civil War and the Greenback, the currency created by the Government without the backing of gold or silver¹², intended to finance the Civil War effort and which subsequently ignited very high inflation in the United States. Barack Obama should be wary of history which has a tendency to be very ironic.
¹ Source: Strategic Studies Institute, 04/11/2008.
² The border with Mexico is becoming a battleground for drugs trafficking. Source: Armed Forces Journal, 01/2009; Spacewar, 05/06/2008
³ Source: Strategic Studies Institute, 04/11/2008.
¹¹ The border with Mexico is becoming a battleground for drugs trafficking. Source: Armed Forces Journal, 01/2009; Spacewar, 05/06/2008
¹² The border with Mexico is becoming a battleground for drugs trafficking. Source: Armed Forces Journal, 01/2009; Spacewar, 05/06/2008